Artificial Intelligence for Molecular Triage: Predicting EGFR Mutations from H&E Slides in a Brazilian Real-World Lung Cancer Cohort
Artificial intelligence; deep learning; digital pathology; EGFR mutation; non–small cell lung cancer; predictive modeling; molecular triage; H&E slides
Background: Artificial intelligence (AI)–based approaches have emerged as promising tools in predicting actionable genomic alterations directly from hematoxylin and eosin (H&E)–stained slides, potentially optimizing molecular testing workflows. This study evaluated the performance of the NSCLC Panel EGFR algorithm in predicting EGFR mutation status from H&E slides of non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in an independent Brazilian real-world cohort within a resource-limited setting. Methods: A total of 214 H&E slides from 203 NSCLC patients (107 EGFR-mutant and 107 wild-type) were retrospectively retrieved from pathology archives. After excluding slides with insufficient tumor tissue or poor quality, 181 were included. All slides were digitized and analyzed using the NSCLC Panel AI model, blinded to molecular and clinical data. Model performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, Youden’s index, and Bayesian post-test probability estimation. Results: The NSCLC Panel achieved an AUC of 0.831 (95% CI, 0.756–0.887; p < 0.001) for discriminating EGFR-mutant from wild-type cases. At the optimal cutoff defined in this study, the model demonstrated 89.6% sensitivity, 68.2% specificity, a positive predictive value of 48.5%, and a negative predictive value of 95.2%, supporting its use as a prescreening tool. Conclusions: The NSCLC Panel demonstrated robust predictive performance and high negative predictive value for EGFR mutation detection in a diverse, real-world Brazilian cohort, comparable to established international models. These findings support AI-assisted prescreening as a feasible strategy to optimize molecular testing resources and enable earlier targeted therapy, particularly in low- and middle-income healthcare settings.